Monday Misprices for the Valspar Championship
Last week saw two of the top-tier international teams (The Wild Leish Doggie and Mullet Man Cam Smith v. Louis and Charl) square off in a playoff, with the Aussie contingent reigning victorious at the team-play Zurich Classic. This week we are back to a standard stroke play event, albeit a bit later in the PGA schedule than normal, for the Valspar Championship at the difficult Copperhead course of Innisbrook Resort outside Tampa.
Before we dive in I must say this is the juiciest pricing I have seen in a while for the sub-8k range, with established tour pros such as Keegs (mandatory Wheatley/St. Johns shoutout), Sammy The Bull, Big Gary, Streeldoggie, and The Kis headlining the bunch. However, it would be too easy to just give you those better-known names, so, here are my favorite value plays that could be diamonds in the rough on Draftkings…
Sam Horsfield - $7,400: Many of you may not be too familiar with this premier piss-missile...er...unless you stay awake til the wee hours of the morning to watch the Gran Canaria Open (not saying I do…), but you should be because this guy could be the England’s next Ty Hatton. Despite being unfamiliar with this tricky track, his recent form on the Euro Tour reads as follows: 4th, 15th, 3rd, 8th. Pepper accoydingly. Oh...and he's a Florida Gator.
“General Patton” Kizzire - $7,200: Auto-play on bermuda grass until he loses his tour card IDGAF.
Danny Willett - $7,200: Another Englishman who most of yous *should be aware of at this point after winning a little event played in Augusta after Jordan got wet in 2016. After a couple seasons of up-and-down play, mixed with the Covid stoppage, Danny Boy is playing much better of late, including lurking at the Heritage and last week at the Zurich with his partner, the aforementioned Ty Hatton. I expect Danny to continue his solid play, especially if the wind picks up.
Charl Schwartzel - $7,100: The straw hat bandit was out for blood in the bayou last week, and could have won if not for his partner and BFF Louis splash landing his ball into Gator World on the first playoff hole. Regardless, Charl won the Valspar a few years back and clearly enjoys his time in the warm Southeast climate. There’s always a chance his irons regress to where they’ve been for most of his post-Masters-win career, and he’ll surely be high-owned, but that’s not always a bad thing...
Big Keith Mitchell - $7,100: It wouldn’t be a bermuda tournament without a GEORGIA DAWG on the list. Hopefully he doesn’t start howling if he wins like the Best Actress winner did last night at The Oscars, but I digress. To keep it simple-Keith hits the shit out of the ball, looked great with Sneds at the Zurich, and loves shortish bermuda tracks in the Southeast. Sprinkle like you’ve got a gift card for Baskin-Robbins.
King Henrik Stenson - $7,000: The Sweedish sensation finally found it again. What “it” is I’m not so sure quite yet, but after a nauseating stretch of play to start the year, the blooming azaleas have reignited the ball-striking aficionado's game. With recent lurkage at Augusta, followed by an impressive showing with his Ryder Cup mate Justin Rose, Henrik is looking more like the player who was Champion Golfer of the Year not so long ago. This will certainly be an enormous test in his road back to glory, but like many other Euro stalwarts with Whistling Straits in their sights, I expect Stenson’s rejuvenated play to continue into the Summer.
Sicko Special - “Richy Dimaso” Werenski - $6,900: Heeeeee’s baccccck! After a brief hiatus of being on my radar, Cousin Richy is back in the Family Tree after surprisingly popping last week with Peter Uihlein for a 3rd place at the Zurich. Always a dangerous putter, maybe we shouldn’t be too surprised based on that pair’s history of success on the Florida circuit. Now back where he feels most comfortable, this isn’t even that sick of a call-I expect a T20 from Richy boy.
No need to dip much lower than this on a difficult track...unless of course you want to roll the dice on THE HERMANATOR, then tread lightly, and enjoy the implosions. BOL.